Archive for the ‘Iraqi Banking related’ Category

Iraq could still use forex reserves to fill budget gaps

sinan al shabibiAn interesting article on the Gulf Daily News – Sinan Al Shabibi made some comments regarding Iraq’s reserves in the forex during a meeting with Arab central bank governors in Dubai. Of note, he said:

“… There are discussions. The reserves cannot be touched except for foreign exchange stability.”

Other than that, no big news today on the Iraq Dinar Speculating front, at least – none that has been confirmed. As some of you know, Dinar Speculation (DS) has an inside source at the CBI with some interesting information. I would like to make a public apology for withholding the exact details, but we are only 90% confirmed at the moment. Stay tuned.

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Iraq to get loan from IMF

From aswat al Iraq:

BAGHDAD / Aswat al-Iraq: Negotiations will be carried out next week in Amman – Jordan between the Central Bank of Iraq (CBI) and the International Monetary Fund (IMF), an advisor from the IMF said Monday.

The two sides will meet as part of the preparations to sign an agreement that grants Iraq a loan of around 1% interest.
“The negotiations will start on Monday Sept. 29, 2009,” Modhihir Mohammed Salih told Aswat al-Iraq news agency.
He said that the low-interest loan aims at activating the Iraqi economy.
“The loan has a condition that the Iraqi economy should be reformed,” Salih said.

I love Iraqi economy reform! Post comments if you have them, thanks for your contributions.

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The change from USD to IQD in Iraq

From Army Times author Kris Osborne (no link provided):

U.S. slows cash flow into Iraq, Afghanistan
By Kris Osborn

The U.S. government is slowing the flow of dollars into Iraq and Afghanistan as part of a push to build up the local currencies, banking systems and economies.
In the effort by the State and Treasury departments and the Army, all U.S. payments to local vendors in Iraq and Afghanistan will be made by electronic transfer starting Oct. 1, said Brig. Gen. Phillip McGhee, director of resource management, Third Army.
In recent years, billions of U.S. dollars has flowed into the coun­tries.
“There was no banking struc­ture, there were no financial insti­tutions. They either didn’t exist to begin with or they col­lapsed after the start of Opera­tion Iraqi Free­dom,” McGhee said. “We went for years revert­ing back to what we know and can do very well, and that is put a lot of cash out there.” But that approach invited corruption and theft, tied up U.S. troops as security guards and gave insur­gents a key financial tool.
“Insurgents and al-Qaida prefer to use U.S. currency,” McGhee said. “They can use that anywhere in the world, so the sooner you get that out of there, they will have to find another currency.” But the primary reason for the switch, the general said, was to give Iraqis and Afghans more con­trol of their recovering economies. Using local currency boosts con­fidence in local governments, one analyst said.
“For the long term, this is good for the country to the extent that people see the Afghan and Iraqi governments as providing stable institutions. It does build some confidence,” said Keith Crane, who directs environment, energy and economic development pro­grams at Rand Corp., a California­ based think tank.
The flow of U.S. cash is already drying up. U.S. payments will move through a web-based Defense Department service called “Wide Area Work Flow.” That allows the government to “write contracts to the vendors in U.S. currency that are paid in local currency,” McGhee said. “If you are a contractor and your con­tract was written through [elec­tronic funds transfers] — you can see where your payment is in the system.” The funds will be sent to local banks that have been certified ready to handle e-transfers, where they will be available for the ven­dors to withdraw in local currency. Reducing cash payments saves the Army money. Each transac­tion costs about $32 a payment, according to an Army news release.

(Hat tip to one of the readers of DS, please claim your credit in the comments if you wish it.)

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Good articles on Central Bank expecting to raise the value of the Iraqi Dinar

250dinarHat tip to Seaview over at IIF.

Someone please tell me how the article was translated by google to include a famous Disney character, though! Article:

Sign adviser CBI Mzarmohamd for Iraq to become of the oil-producing countries developed during the next two years if entering Iraq through the gate of the oil investment.

وأكد صالح أن الاستثمار سينعكس على تطور الواقع الاقتصادي في البلاد نتيجة تنوع موارده، وهو ما سيؤدي إلى ارتفاع قيمة الدينار العراقي: The benefit of that investment will be reflected on the evolution of the economic reality in the country by the diversity of its resources, which would lead to a rise in the value of the Iraqi Dinar:

وأشار صالح في حديث لـ”راديو سوا” إلى أن العراق يحتفظ بمعدلات عالية من العملة الأجنبية تغطي السيولة المحلية ما يدفع إلى استقرار الدينار العراقي في تداولات سوق العملات وبالتالي يحفظ الاستقرار الاقتصادي: Salih noted in an interview with “Radio Sawa” that Iraq retains high rates of foreign currency cover domestic liquidity is paid to the stability of the Iraqi dinar in trading the currency market and thus preserve economic stability:

فيما أوضح الخبير الاقتصادي أسعد العاقولي أن سعي عدد من الدول الأوربية للاستثمار في العراق سيرفع من موارد البلاد وسيدعم قيمة الدينار في المستقبل، ما يؤهل العراق للدخول في الاستثمارات الخاصة في مجال الغاز: The economic expert explained that the happiest bugsbunny attempt by a number of European countries to invest in Iraq will raise the country’s resources and will support the value of the dinar in the future, as Iraq prepares to enter into private investments in gas:

وكان صندوق النقد الدولي قرر منح العراق 1.8 مليار دولار لدعم السيولة النقدية واحتياطيات البنك المركزي العراقي، فضلا عن إنعاش المشاريع التنموية. The International Monetary Fund decided to give Iraq $ 1.8 billion to boost liquidity and cash reserves of the Central Bank of Iraq, as well as for the recovery of development projects.

It sure would be handy to know how to read arabic… If someone could comment on this article with firsthand knowledge of the translation, it would be appreciated!

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A summary of the Security Council 6145th Meeting

There’s been a bunch of talk about the 2.5 hour meeting that took place yesterday (Security Counsel 6145th meeting, link). The page is pretty long, so here’s a summary of actions and what the representatives of the countries involved had to say.

Foreign Minister of Turkey, Ahmet Davutoğlu, read a statement reaffirming it’s commitment to Iraq and also reaffirmed its full support for the United Nations Assistance Mission for Iraq (UNAMI).

Departing UNAMI leader Staffan de Mistura says the last two years have been highly successful in changing the way Iraq is viewed and credits it to hard work on everyone’s part.

We have together helped to turn the page on how the Iraqis view us, the Organization, the international community and their leaders. And we have contributed to Iraq assuming a new standing among the world community as an increasingly stable and sovereign nation.

Iraq’s representative (HAMID AL-BAYATI) noted a marked decline in violence compared to last year (down 76%!), impressive turnouts for voting, and a major influx of people returning to Iraq. He outlined the upcoming elections in July 2009 and January of 2010… to which Turkey’s Foreign Affairs Minister, Mr. Davutoğlu said Iraq had

…a bright future that was now within reach. And, given what had been achieved in the past six years, there was reason for optimism.

US representative Susan Rice stated that Us will withdraw it’s combat troops from Iraqi cities, towns, and villages no later than the end of the month (June 2009), paving the way for ALL US troops to be out by 2011. The US will continue to build a strategic alliance with Iraq.

(more…)

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Some thoughts on the ISX…

As you know, the Iraqi Stock Exchange went digital with 5 stocks on the 19th of April this year, 2009. Here are the results from the first day of trading: link. Now, that’s not a huge deal in terms of what was traded – at least, not in terms of profit or gains for any particular stock. Only 15 trades were made, and you can clearly see that closing prices were exactly the same as opening prices. Al-Mansour Bank was the heaviest traded stock, capturing 52.630% of the action with 500,000 shares valued at 1.55 IQD each.

However, let’s take a gander at the rest of the ISX – this could be interesting! The trading day previous to April 19 2009 was April 16 – you can see the action here. Total number of trades: 282. About a year ago. April 20 2008, that number was 129. The ISX has seen a slow growth from 129 to 282 over the past year, as is expected for a country in the situation Iraq is in.

We could spend hours analyzing the growth over the last year or 5, but let’s look at something more interesting – the change from April 16th to April 23rd, with the implementation of electronic trading. 

Simple numbers, folks.

Total ISX trades April 16, 2009 (pre electronic): 282.

Total ISX trades April 23, 2009 (after electronic): 359.

The Iraqi Stock Exchange just experienced 27.30% growth in a week. Discuss in the comments section or send your ideas in here. 

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Just an FYI on the Iraqi Stock Exchange “Breaking News”…

The Dinar Speculation staff spends hours upon hours scouring the net for news on the IQD, ISX, etc. A short while ago, isx-iq.net (the official website of the ISX) posted an update announcing the impending digital transition of the Iraqi Stock Market. As of right now, you can see the article (translated to English) here.

When we say “a short while ago”, we actually mean April 3rd… which is when we broke the news here on DinarSpeculation.com. The ISX website lists the current date on top of the home page over there… which makes it look like the article was posted today, no matter when you visit!

It wasn’t posted today, my friends. Regular readers of DinarSpeculation knew of this official announcement moments after the update went live on the ISX website, while the rest of the internet continues to think it’s “breaking news”. Word to the wise – bookmark this site and check here for your news on a regular basis.

We’ve got you covered.

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Iraqi Economy to get a boost from World Bank

World Bank to help Iraqi Economy

World Bank to help Iraqi Economy

Editors note: This Iraqi news contains one of the recurring themes, which is a central desire to make Iraq more suitable and attractive for investing.

Baghdad: General secretary of the Iraqi cabinet, Ali al-Allaq, received representatives of the World Bank, which included VP of the Middle East and North Africa Region and the executive director for Iraq.

Quoted:

“The bank’s strategy mainly aims to enable Iraq to manage its resources more effectively… The World Bank will help the Iraqi government create a favorable climate for construction and a potential ground for investment…”

Sources: Radio Nawa, Aswat al-Iraq

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Dollar sales down oh no!

Not a lot on the news-radar, so I’m posting this for you today. Aswat Al-Iraq posts that demand for the dollar is down to $120MM (120 Million USD) from the previous session, which reached USD$140.017MM.

The sale was covered at the usual exchange of 1170 IQD per USD… consistant, to say the least. Those of you who follow the exchange rate know that number well.

Source: April 5 Aswat al-Iraq news.

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Rates cut to 9% to spur growth by Iraq banks

Falling oil revenues, presumably from the falling price of oil, has spurred the central bank of Iraq to decrease it’s base interest rate from 11% to 9%.

This decrease is able to happen, in part, due to the inflation rate decreasing in Iraq. As stated by Mudher Mohammed Salih, the Iraq interest rates could call again – Salih is expecting rates to be around 5% in January 2010.

Source: lse.co.uk

Editors comment: With the incredibly stable Dinar value, an inflation rate that is going in a positive direction, and now interest rates falling to extremely attractive levels – what do you think this will do to the situation in Iraq? It’s looking good, we think!

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